Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.755774 0.886658 1.028148 1.191838 1.375340 1.574053 1.804841
2025-08-17 0.514947 0.688551 0.895093 1.155801 1.472758 1.842211 2.301774
2025-08-24 0.378642 0.571790 0.822380 1.163407 1.606804 2.154841 2.873531
2025-08-31 0.281905 0.478387 0.754771 1.157127 1.711484 2.431114 3.416304
2025-09-07 0.227743 0.429099 0.733084 1.201490 1.878151 2.791510 4.084499
2025-09-14 0.184091 0.383996 0.706734 1.230688 2.020347 3.123265 4.730185
2025-09-21 0.141153 0.328411 0.652738 1.207913 2.080429 3.340077 5.226390
2025-09-28 0.116506 0.298852 0.634619 1.235721 2.213704 3.664043 5.884095
2025-10-05 0.096462 0.272634 0.616908 1.259911 2.340153 3.981834 6.544906
2025-10-12 0.079824 0.248744 0.598721 1.279453 2.458070 4.290320 7.203140
2025-10-19 0.064010 0.221761 0.569462 1.274696 2.533559 4.535341 7.775040
2025-10-26 0.049192 0.191976 0.528718 1.242844 2.558799 4.700620 8.230529
2025-11-02 0.039316 0.172275 0.506541 1.245063 2.645605 4.972767 8.870003
2025-11-09 0.029173 0.147258 0.467439 1.208974 2.661501 5.131252 9.340806
2025-11-16 0.023326 0.133336 0.451418 1.217369 2.757670 5.425405 10.036429
2025-11-23 0.018062 0.118563 0.429955 1.211078 2.825017 5.673293 10.666380
2025-11-30 0.015518 0.113326 0.432429 1.257147 2.994679 6.102348 11.604787
2025-12-07 0.012912 0.106232 0.428265 1.287440 3.135028 6.485915 12.480641
2025-12-14 0.009541 0.092740 0.402398 1.263860 3.166203 6.678638 13.045646
2025-12-21 0.007876 0.087060 0.398778 1.292680 3.304442 7.066168 13.948411
2025-12-28 0.006432 0.081415 0.393944 1.317743 3.436037 7.446269 14.849477
2026-01-04 0.005177 0.075724 0.387571 1.337987 3.558344 7.813561 15.738882
2026-01-11 0.003889 0.068060 0.372275 1.333060 3.626279 8.082864 16.466905